31 March 2020 – Ministry of Health publishes mathematical models for a range of preventative measures

Type of Intervention: Specific Action
Sectors Involved: Health
Intervention Categories: Planning and strategy
Level of Jurisdiction: National
Lead People/Agency: Ministry of Health

Overview: The Ministry of Health today published a series of modelling – all looking at how a range of measures can help reduce the impact of COVID-19.
Full details here: https://www.health.govt.nz/news-media/media-releases/covid-19-modelling-provides-clear-warning-consequences-not-acting-swiftly-and-decisively

Type of Justification: Advice of INTERNAL government advisory committee or group, Advice of EXTERNAL expert advisor or advisory committee
Source of Evidence or Justification: World Health Organisation, National – academic, National – government, International – academic
Evidence/Justification: Other key information sources were the 16-24 Feb WHO joint mission to China, the University of Auckland report, and the 18 March publication from Imperial College, London, (a WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling), which was particularly significant in informing the development of New Zealand’s Alert levels and the decision to move quickly from Alert level 3 to Alert level 4.